Monday, August 21, 2006

Debunking The Imminent Nuclear Attack.

Today on the radio, the propagandists were discussing an op-ed piece in the WSJ by Bernard Lewis that stated that tomorrow there's a likelihood of a nuclear attack by Iran. I haven't even read the article and I know it's bunk, neofascist propaganda setting up Iran as the fall guy for a false flag operation. I don't know what's in there, but I'm sure he puts forth his case well enough that the ill-informed (such as the "deejays" on the radio and much of their listening audience) might believe it to be so, but I don't buy it one bit.
First off, the reason the he speculates that tom orrow this will happen, is because tomorrow is th deadline for an proposal made by the UN for Iran to stop enriching uranium, something it has every right to do as a signee of the NPT. If Iran refuses, the matter will be brought to the Security Council, who will then vote on sanctions. Mr. Lewis proposes that Iran will start WWIII rather than face the sanctions imposed on it. However, what Mr. Lewis probably doesn't inform his readers with is the fact that security council members Russia and China have deals with Iran. Russia is building the nuclear power plant at Bushehr, while China, quickly becoming a large energy consumer, has made a deal with Iran to supply China with the oil it needs to feed it's growing economy. Neither one is likely to vote for sanctions, so in reality, Iran has nothing to worry about in the security council.
Iran also doesn't want to go to war. I know that Mr. Lewis' article probably refers to statements made by Iranian president Ahmednejhad concerning "wiping Israel off the map", an interpretation offered by the Israel paranoia leaning MEMRI. However, other interpretations of Ahmednejhad's statement have been Israel "should be erased form the pages of history". Neither statement reflect the Iranian president's desire to do this himself, it was more a statement of frustration with a country that mistreats it's Muslim population. But Iran offered to suspend it's uranium enrichment in exchange for a guarantee that the US will not attack it. This offer was rejected by the US.
However, Israel would like nothing better than to force regime change in Iran. If not for the statements made by it's president, than surely because Iran is arming Hizb-Ullah with missiles that Hizb-Ullah is firing at Israel. And of course the neofascists who signed the PNAC would like to force regime change in Iran as well. Why? Because Iran has made a deal to sell it's energy to China, meaning that all those oil profits that should be going to big oil in America will instead be going to Iran. And as we speak, people working for Dick Cheney are cherry picking intelligence and forging documents, just like they did for Iraq, to justify starting another war in the middle east. One that will be called the "war on terror", but will have nothing to do with terrorists acts or 9/11 or alQaeda at all.
Dick Cheney was a little disappointed that Israel's recent incursion into Lebanon didn't spread in to Syria, as an Israeli war with Syria would involve Iran and the US. In order to secure the gulf region's resources, according to the PNAC, the US must use it's role as the world's remaining superpower (while it still can) to effect regime change throughout the region. That's why we went to Iraq and why we're staying there until every last drop of oil is pumped out of the ground.None of this I'm sure is mentioned in Mr. Lewis's piece.
Neither does Mr. Lewis probably mention the plan Cheney had STRATCOM draw up last year, calling for a nuclear strike against Iran following the next terorist attack, even if Iran is not involved.
Iran has not the missile capability to strike the US. The most it's most recently tested rockets can go is 15,000 metres. It will be able to strike US soldiers in Iraq, and it will be able to strike at Israel. Unfortunately, IT WILL NOT BE A NUCLEAR ATTACK. Why? Because Iran has NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS!! They lack the 64,000 centrifuges it requires to enrich enough uranium to make a nuclear device. Our own National Intelligence estimate from November of last year puts Iran at least ten years away from having the capabilities to build a nuclear device. Since they do not have nukes, how are they going to nuke anyone?
No, the only two armed forces in the region with nuclear capabilities are the US and Israel. If Iran were to strike at Israel with one nuclear weapon, Israel would make sure that it didn't happen again. Look how they responded when two of their soldiers were captured by Hizb-Ullah in Lebanon. Now multiply that by, I don't know, ten million, and you'd have a pretty good idea of what Israel would do. Ahmednejhad would be a fool to do so, and let me tell you, he's no fool. Unlike our idiot president who can't even finish a sentence.
So who are you going to believe? Someone from the media, the same media that said :
1. Saddam has WMD
2. Iraq has ties to alQaeda
3. Iraq was involved in 9/11
4. The war in Iraq is part of the war on terror,
all of which are lies. Or are you going to look at the facts.

UPDATE: It turns out Mr. Lewis is a professor of Islamic studies! That explains his lack of knowledge as per the nuclear capabilities of Iran! But it sure has a bunch of ill-informed people scared!

11 comments:

Cartledge said...

Most analysts seem to agree that Iran is just sabre rattling. If they were in for serious confrontation they would have tested during the Lebanon invasion.
What they did show, Iran and Syria, is that their conventional weapons are good.
I'm not sure what Cheney is smoking, but it is impairing his vision.

pissed off patricia said...

Cheney is the most dangerous of them all. He has obviously lost all sense of reality and reason. I'm sure he would love to bomb Iran but jesus, has he thought of what that would start?

Remember Iran sent a letter to bush to start some sort of conversation. Might have been a good time to talk.

I sincerely like the way you have laid all this out in your post. Very nice!

Peacechick Mary said...

You have put all the facts out there. Too bad the radicals won't read it and know the facts. I hate it when our gubment makes inflaming statements leaving out any factual information at all. The other thing is the US and Iran are really at war now - by proxy in Israel and Lebanon. Well, I'm off for a swim and they can all just go ^%&k themselves for now.

DivaJood said...

I love the people who predict that the world will end at 11:51 PM on June 18th, 2005 - then it doesn't. Now what?

However, since I also believe that the PNAC crowd was behind the 9/11 attacks, I would not put it past them to create a nuclear attack of some sort tomorrow, somewhere in the Middle East. Probably in Israel. Probably a dirty bomb in Haifa, or similar. I would not put it past Cheney to sanction this.

Look, we're in deep shit because of the PNAC. Their goal is regime change in specific, targeted nations. If we don't stop them at home, it will not stop with the Middle East.

sumo said...

Oh...we're all just beating our chests ...because we're all gonna die some day anyway...why not go out with some yellowcake I say! I don't know about you...but I think yellow cake tastes yummy.

glenda said...

This is more of their diversion tactics to take attention from their many failures...just keep people so off balance and scared that they won't react and go after them.

Kathy said...

It occurred to me that I have spent most of my life in fear because of our government's propaganda. Can you remember sitting on the floor in school with your hands over your head to protect you from bombs? That was when communism was the big threat.

Flash forward to today and the terrorism threat - yet who has really posed the biggest threat to date in regards to WMD? The U.S. when it dropped the bombs in Japan.

No wonder the world views us in such hypocritical terms.

Tina said...

The Independent UK reported that Israel had been giving Power Point presentations to US war brokers and politicians for 2 full yrs BEFORE the war was launched against Hezbollah. These Power Point presentations laid out the war strategy point by point, including approx how many weeks the war would last and how civilian areas would be hit with no regard for loss of innocent life. I wonder how many of those presentations Cheney attended and salivated at the endless possibilities, no?

Betty Cracker said...

As you pointed out, Ahmedinejad isn't as much of a fool as Bush is (who is?). But there are definitely similarities between the two -- both have an apocolyptic worldview. Both seem convinced they are divine instruments on the world stage.

But Bush's foolishness and the energy circumstances you described have advanced Iran's agenda immeasurably. Ahmedinejad is fortunate in his enemies.

Kathy said...

Lew, you always post excellent comments about DeVos and Michigan's election. I'm just curious as to why you don't post anything about him. I realize your readers are from all over the country, but they may find themselves considering him for president someday if he continues to influence the GOP the way he has.

Anyway, I just thought I would mention it since you have such astute insight into him from your perspective in the west.

Anonymous said...

Blessed spirit, God of Love that is everything and guides all things will direct our life course toward the light of greatest good and spiritual awakening. Everything will transpire and proceed as it should. On the other side of the darkness and suffering grows the roses of joy from the ashes of dispair.

Be not afraid brothers and sisters. We shall all be in paradise together. I pray for the lost souls that will be consumed by the flames of ingnorance and hatred. They will reap the whirlwind of destruction and their legacy will be the dust of their intolerance.

Blessed are the awakened, who spread the joy of life and love, they will never be without the presence of God and will be the first to rejoice in the kingdom of heaven.